• We don’t understand most of how the world works.
    • To counter this, we come up with an explanation that makes sense based on our own unique perspective and experience.
    • We tell ourselves stories to fill in the gaps.
  • We want to constantly make sense of the complicated world we live in.
    • We like to have the illusion of predictability since we have an emotional itch to believe that we are in control.
    • We confuse our power to control the hard sciences with our abilities to control life in general.
  • The world is dictated by unforeseen events. Hence forecasts may do more harm than good since we can never predict these big events.

Sources