- Optimism for the future; paranoia about the short term
- Case studies and broad patterns over individuals
- Why do smart people disagree in their analyses, predictions
- Keep the goalpost constant
- The happiness equation
- Avoid social comparison
- Not all risks are worth it
- Appreciate the role of luck
- Good plans plan on the plan not working
- Small number of events account for majority of outcomes - Tail events
- Tremendous results do not need tremendous force - The Power of Compounding
- How to get admiration and respect
- What may seem atrocious to you, may make sense to someone else
- Everyone is playing a different game
- Aim to be reasonable, not rational
- History cannot be used to predict the future
- The End of History Illusion
- Everyone is playing a different game
- Optimism is a good investing strategy
- Beware of the story that we tell ourselves